Early 2025 ADP Values
We’ve reached August. The fantasy football degenerates have been mock drafting since the conclusion of the NFL draft in late April, and the casual fans are just starting to get into drafts, or will do so over the next month or so. The last couple months of drafts have shown several early values based on average draft position (ADP), which we will highlight for you in this article. (Elsewhere in this draft kit, you can find our Do Not Draft list. We provided similar analysis last season, directing your attention to the following players who were ADP values:
Tee Higgins, WR, Bengals (drafted in Round 6, finished as WR 17 despite only playing in 75% of the games).
Chris Godwin, WR, Buccaneers (drafted in Round 8, but was second among all WRs in scoring at the time of his injury in Week 7).
Brock Bowers, TE, Raiders (drafted in Round 10, but finished with more catches than any rookie TE in history and led all players in points at the position).
Jayden Daniels, QB, Commanders (drafted in Round 10, finished as rookie of the year and #5 in points at the position).
We are striving to identify similar values in 2025. At this point, the following players should be considered values at their current ADP. All draft position data is taken from Yahoo! as of July 27:
Alvin Kamara, RB, Saints (Round 4, ADP 44.0). Derrick Henry, age 31, finished as last year’s RB4 in PPR leagues, and he’s going as a first round pick. Kamara, age 30, missed 4 games and still finished as last year’s RB9… and he’s going in the fourth? Gimme a break. I’ll take the cheaper guy. Kamara has the ability to anchor the RB position for your fantasy squad, but you’re getting him at a steep discount.
Rashee Rice, WR, Chiefs (Round 4, ADP 47.1). Rice’s ADP continues to plummet in the wake of his criminal guilty plea. A suspension is sure to follow. But does it matter? This is a guy who has flashed WR1 talent in his 2 years in the league, and he’s tied to one of the best QBs to ever play the game. Since Week 12 of the 2023 season, here are Rice’s fantasy finish in regular-season games, excluding the game where he got hurt: WR3, WR26, WR12, WR10, WR38, WR16, WR16, WR17, WR5. Stated differently, in his past 9 regular-season games, he has been a fantasy WR2 or better more than 75% of the time.
Travis Hunter, WR, Jaguars (Round 6, ADP 67.9). This is a bit of a gamble since Hunter may play both ways (and thus be more susceptible to injury), but I just can’t ignore the fact that Jacksonville traded up to get this dude after he won the Heisman Trophy. He’s the highest-drafted WR prospect since Calvin Johnson in 2007. And he turned out okay, right? Hunter can help the Jaguars most on the offensive side of the ball, so that is where I believe they are going to focus his talents.
Justin Fields, QB, Jets (Round 8, ADP 88.2). In 2022, Fields rushed for 1100 yards and 8 touchdowns. You’d take that from a running back. But as added bonus points from a quarterback? That’s just bonkers. Last year, in 6 starts for Pittsburgh, he had 5 rushing scores to go along with 5 passing scores. The dude is a fantasy cheat code. If he is able to stay healthy this year, it’s hard to envision him not finishing among the top 5-6 scorers at the position, but he’s currently being drafted outside that range.
Chris Olave, WR, Saints (Round 8, ADP 89.8). Olave finished as WR25 as a rookie and as WR16 as a second-year player in PPR leagues. He was only derailed last year by concussions. Now healthy, he gets a boost with the addition of brilliant offensive mind Kellen Moore as his head coach. He also very little target competition outside of Alvin Kamara and Rashid Shaheed. Another WR2 finish seems like a sure bet.
Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys (Round 10, ADP 110.6). The last time we saw Dak Prescott play a full season in a Brian Schottenheimer offense, he finished as QB3 in fantasy. The Cowboys improved their pass-catching weaponry this offseason by bringing in George Pickens, but their run game still projects to be atrocious. It would not be surprising if this team was one of the pass-heaviest in the league. Schotty is gonna let Dak cook.
Jake Ferguson, TE, Cowboys (Round 11, ADP 125.0). I like Ferguson for the same reasons I like Prescott. Dallas is gonna throw a ton.
Emeka Egbuka, WR, Buccaneers (Round 11, ADP 127.6). You either believe or you do not. I believe. I’m not worried about the “crowded WR room.” Mike Evans is old, and Chris Godwin is coming off injury. Egbuka is a former 5-star recruit who is the all-time receptions leader in Ohio State history. And Ohio State has a long and storied history of elite WR talents. This dude caught more balls than any of them. I’m betting on talent.
Michael Pittman, WR, Colts (Round 11, ADP 131.2). What does this guy have to do to get some love? From 2021-2023, he had at least 88 catches every season and never finished worse than WR20. Last year, he played through a freaking broken back and still finished as WR41. But right now he’s being drafted outside the Top 50 receivers. It makes no sense.
Dylan Sampson, RB, Browns (Round 12, ADP 134.0). As a flier, you could do worse than Sampson. With Quinshon Judkins’ domestic violence situation, Sampson may have a chance to earn the starting job for a run-heavy team. At a Round 10 price tag, it’s worth the gamble.